The Upside Down Mortgage Exit Strategy: House Short Sale
"Is it time for a house short sale? Do I need to do that?" Those are the questions that we all ask ourselves. As an investor in single family homes, I have to look at all the options from a business point of view and leave out the emotional attachments. I knew that with the housing downturn, some of my homes were worth much less than I owed on the loans. So I put pen to paper and here's how I decided what to do.
1) Find a Realtor: I'm using a realtor. I called a bunch of places that claimed they specialized in short sales, but most of them were referral services. My CPA advised me to run, if anyone asked me for money up front, and a bunch of them did. That seemed like sound advice, and I found that to be the general consensus among the professional community. I consulted my CPA, and my real estate attorney, and both of them advised me that a realtor would be the best person to handle my house short sales. Besides, they're used to talking with lenders. I chose to go with a real estate agent who is also happens to be a broker. I feel safe in using a person like this, because she has a "fiduciary duty" to look out for my best interests, and even more so because she is a broker. That's in the real estate laws!
2) What's the Home Worth Today? Get a good valuation from your realtor. In reality, when you meet to talk, she should already have the comps ready to hand you. Don't waste your money on a official appraisal as it won't be used anyway. This is one situation where you want to be incredibly realistic, even pessimistic about the value, and not succumb to emotional attachment for the house. The more upside down you are in the loan, the greater chance for success in your house short sale.
3) Get Out the Calculator: Here's how I decided whether I needed a house short sale: Take your total loan amount, and subtract the present value of the house. Not what it's worth, but how much you can get for it TODAY. This is how much your "Upside Down" in the loan. Then, figure your annual expenses including a year's worth of payments, taxes, insurance, maintenance, and repairs. This is your "Yearly Cost" to keep the house. Now, take the amount your upside down and multiply it by 8%. (We will pretend that the market has returned to normal appreciation today.) We'll call this number: "Appreciation per Year." Finally, divide the Upside Down amount, by Appreciation per Year. This is how many years it will take just to break even with the amount you owe on your loan. No profit, no realized appreciation. Finally, compare how many years it will take to break even, with the cost of keeping it each year. Can you hack it? Is it worth it to keep it for that many years?
Here's an example: A house was purchased with a $800,000 loan. In one year it has depreciated drastically and will sell for only $600,000. (these are real California scenarios!). Should the owner short sell the house?
Upside Down: $800,000 - $600,000 = $200,000 Annual Costs: Includes all yearly expenses = $60,000 Appreciation: Assuming a booming market = $200,000 x .08 = $16,000
Verdict: It will take 12.5 years of appreciation at 8% per year, just to break even with the original value of the property, and to get there, it will cost $60,00 per year! In addition, after 12.5 years of suffering, full ownership of the house is still far away and over $750,000 will have been paid in mortgage payments and expenses.
You don't have to guess what I decided to do. My numbers we're very similar to these. I know I'll take a hit on my credit, but for me, 2 -3 years to rebuild my credit is a lot better than 12.5 years of suffering. I'm going to call it quits and live to fight another day.
1) Find a Realtor: I'm using a realtor. I called a bunch of places that claimed they specialized in short sales, but most of them were referral services. My CPA advised me to run, if anyone asked me for money up front, and a bunch of them did. That seemed like sound advice, and I found that to be the general consensus among the professional community. I consulted my CPA, and my real estate attorney, and both of them advised me that a realtor would be the best person to handle my house short sales. Besides, they're used to talking with lenders. I chose to go with a real estate agent who is also happens to be a broker. I feel safe in using a person like this, because she has a "fiduciary duty" to look out for my best interests, and even more so because she is a broker. That's in the real estate laws!
2) What's the Home Worth Today? Get a good valuation from your realtor. In reality, when you meet to talk, she should already have the comps ready to hand you. Don't waste your money on a official appraisal as it won't be used anyway. This is one situation where you want to be incredibly realistic, even pessimistic about the value, and not succumb to emotional attachment for the house. The more upside down you are in the loan, the greater chance for success in your house short sale.
3) Get Out the Calculator: Here's how I decided whether I needed a house short sale: Take your total loan amount, and subtract the present value of the house. Not what it's worth, but how much you can get for it TODAY. This is how much your "Upside Down" in the loan. Then, figure your annual expenses including a year's worth of payments, taxes, insurance, maintenance, and repairs. This is your "Yearly Cost" to keep the house. Now, take the amount your upside down and multiply it by 8%. (We will pretend that the market has returned to normal appreciation today.) We'll call this number: "Appreciation per Year." Finally, divide the Upside Down amount, by Appreciation per Year. This is how many years it will take just to break even with the amount you owe on your loan. No profit, no realized appreciation. Finally, compare how many years it will take to break even, with the cost of keeping it each year. Can you hack it? Is it worth it to keep it for that many years?
Here's an example: A house was purchased with a $800,000 loan. In one year it has depreciated drastically and will sell for only $600,000. (these are real California scenarios!). Should the owner short sell the house?
Upside Down: $800,000 - $600,000 = $200,000 Annual Costs: Includes all yearly expenses = $60,000 Appreciation: Assuming a booming market = $200,000 x .08 = $16,000
Verdict: It will take 12.5 years of appreciation at 8% per year, just to break even with the original value of the property, and to get there, it will cost $60,00 per year! In addition, after 12.5 years of suffering, full ownership of the house is still far away and over $750,000 will have been paid in mortgage payments and expenses.
You don't have to guess what I decided to do. My numbers we're very similar to these. I know I'll take a hit on my credit, but for me, 2 -3 years to rebuild my credit is a lot better than 12.5 years of suffering. I'm going to call it quits and live to fight another day.
About the Author:
If you liked this story, come read some more on my blog at HouseShortSale.org. It's free and there's no sign up, just what I learned and how I dealt with my house short sale!
posted by Debt Consolidation Loan at
7:21 AM
0 Comments:
Post a Comment
Subscribe to Post Comments [Atom]
<< Home